As is their custom, a Presidential candidate will almost always say that they would never accept the role of Vice President. If they were publicly open to it, then doubts would creep in with their supporters and even in their campaign that the candidate doesn’t really believe that have a chance of winning the top job.
Today, John Kasich and Ben Carson are not going to win a state. Donald Trump will win most of them. Ted Cruz will win two or three. Marco Rubio might win Minnesota or could blank once again. Kasich and Carson will win nothing, though Kasich could compete with Trump in Vermont and has a chance at a strong second in Massachusetts.
We’ll see what Ben Carson does; if he’s honorable, he’ll drop his fundraising-for-the-sake-of-fundraising campaign and move on to his next endeavor. Kasich will not. Regardless of how he performs today, he’ll carry on. Nothing will stop him from making it to March 15 and the Ohio primary. Shortly after it, he will drop out whether he wins or loses. The only question is whether he drops out after losing to go back to being Governor or if he drops out after winning and declaring that he’s supporting Trump or Cruz. Whoever he supports will be the candidate that offered him the Vice Presidential tap.
He’s a logical choice if he wins Ohio. As Governor, he’ll have the best chance of delivering for the Republican nominee the state that has picked every general election winner since the 1960s. This theory would be broken if he can’t win the Ohio primary, but if he wins and can swing the winner-takes-all delegates to Trump or Cruz, he could solidify the eventual nominee.
John Kasich is playing three roles right now. He’s the Rubio-spoiler. He’s the prospective VP pick. He may end up being the kingmaker.